Track Record: Since RacetotheWH launched in 2020, it has had one of the strongest track records of any forecaster. In 2022, we came one race short of calling the exact number of House seats the GOP would win in the midterms. An independent review found our probabilities for House and Senate races were the most accurate of any forecaster.

Newest Features Added: First, you can now Simulate Election Night once a day. Just like the real election, polls will close in each state by time zone, and the results are called last for the states with the closest results. It will update every morning with a new simulation. Second, we built a new feature that delves far deeper into our predictions for each swing state. It shows how we made our prediction, explores how each state has voted in recent elections, and shows how the prediction has changed over time.

Other Features: After exploring the Presidential Forecast below, be sure to also check out our predictions for the House and Senate, and track the latest Presidential Polls.